Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 427.33 | $0.850 | $421.56 | +$58.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | buy | 388.11 | $0.721 | $280 | 19h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 388.11 |
| $0.721 |
| $387.92 |
| +$107.92 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 923.08 | $0.325 | $346.62 | +$46.62 |
 What will be the next Fed rate change? | Hike | 382.52 | $0.784 | $323.23 | +$23.23 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 414.37 | $0.724 | $321.13 | +$21.13 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 704.23 | $0.710 | $242.96 | -$257.04 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 273.86 | $0.720 | $197.18 | +$0 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 322.58 | $0.310 | $104.84 | +$4.84 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.050 | $90 | -$10 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 158.63 | $0.063 | $18.48 | +$8.48 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 11, 2026? | No | 74.29 | $0.135 | $13 | +$3 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $12.78 | +$2.78 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $11.11 | +$1.11 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | No | 53.65 | $0.186 | $10.73 | +$0.73 |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10? | No | 54.21 | $0.369 | $10.57 | -$9.43 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 57.4 | $0.174 | $9.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $9.44 | -$0.56 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $9.26 | -$0.74 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.03 | $0.200 | $7.8 | -$2.2 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 370.35 | $0.013 | $7.04 | +$2.04 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? | Yes | 168.38 | $0.030 | $6.82 | +$1.82 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 40 | $0.250 | $6.4 | -$3.6 |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 155.33 | $0.064 | $5.67 | -$4.33 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September? | No | 213.75 | $0.047 | $5.66 | -$4.34 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026? | No | 31.52 | $0.317 | $5.36 | -$4.64 |
| buy |
| 53.65 |
| $0.186 |
| $10 |
| 19h ago |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50.03 | $0.200 | $10 | 19h ago |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | buy | 57.4 | $0.174 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.07 | $0.078 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 155.33 | $0.064 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | 20h ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?No | buy | 31.52 | $0.317 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 11, 2026?No | buy | 74.29 | $0.135 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 10?No | buy | 54.21 | $0.369 | $20 | 20h ago |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 2d ago |
 Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 32.95 | $0.152 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.057 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 370.35 | $0.014 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?No | buy | 78.48 | $0.064 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 158.63 | $0.063 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?No | buy | 213.75 | $0.047 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 168.38 | $0.030 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | 4d ago |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 116.74 | $0.043 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 527.07 | $0.005 | $2.64 | 4d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 27.38 | $0.160 | $4.38 | 5d ago |
| Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 106.46 | $0.047 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 492.98 | $0.811 | $400 | 5d ago |
| What will be the next Fed rate change?Hike | buy | 382.52 | $0.784 | $300 | 5d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 527.08 | $0.520 | $274.08 | 13d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?No | buy | 711.56 | $0.703 | $500 | 13d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 704.79 | $0.709 | $500 | 16d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 273.86 | $0.720 | $197.18 | 25d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 923.08 | $0.325 | $300 | 25d ago |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | 25d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 590.3 | $0.925 | $546 | 26d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 427.33 | $0.850 | $363.23 | 27d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 414.37 | $0.724 | $300 | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 704.23 | $0.710 | $500 | 27d ago |