Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.3K | $0.882 | $1.28K | +$133.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.9K |
| $0.663 |
| $1.09K |
| -$165.83 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1K | $0.987 | $995.5 | +$8.7 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.477 | $668.74 | +$72.06 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 700 | $0.905 | $626.5 | -$7 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 600 | $0.961 | $597.9 | +$21 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.945 | $586.2 | +$19 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.534 | $568.75 | -$98.75 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 700 | $0.514 | $560 | +$200 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 550 | $0.874 | $522.5 | +$42 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.850 | $362 | +$22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.802 | $342 | +$21.2 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 300 | $0.582 | $264 | +$89.4 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 249.97 | $0.771 | $239.35 | +$46.57 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.12K | $0.435 | $223.73 | -$262.7 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 170 | $0.859 | $148.75 | +$2.65 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.640 | $132 | +$4 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 150 | $0.667 | $110.25 | +$10.25 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 200 | $0.591 | $105 | -$13.3 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $87.5 | +$7.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.644 | $85.5 | +$21.05 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.840 | $85.5 | +$1.5 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.822 | $84.5 | +$2.3 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.420 | $84 | -$42 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.860 | $74.8 | +$6 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.050 |
| $2.5 |
| 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.550 | $16.49 | 1d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | sell | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.46 | $0.240 | $1.31 | 2d ago |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.660 | $4.95 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 4d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.987 | $197.4 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.999 | $1.2K | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | 8d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | 10d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 10d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 11d ago |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | 12d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | 12d ago |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.952 | $9.52 | 12d ago |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.952 | $9.52 | 12d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.430 | $6.45 | 13d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 13d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.250 | $0.01 | 14d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 25 | $0.650 | $16.25 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | 15d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.440 | $13.2 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 300 | $0.984 | $295.2 | 16d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 16d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 16d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 16d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 19d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.001 | $0.09 | 19d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?Yes | buy | 121.96 | $0.820 | $100 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.004 | $8 | 20d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19?No | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | 21d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?No | buy | 30 | $0.953 | $28.59 | 22d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | 23d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 30 | $0.845 | $25.36 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 60 | $0.003 | $0.18 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 17.5 | $0.003 | $0.05 | 25d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 26d ago |