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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 14.19 | $0.867 | $13.55 | +$1.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.976 | $19.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.06 |
| $0.784 |
| $9.97 |
| +$2.08 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 9.99 | $0.745 | $9.43 | +$1.99 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.695 | $9.4 | +$2.45 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 10.85 | $0.579 | $9.12 | +$2.84 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.140 | $8.05 | +$6.65 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 8.69 | $0.840 | $7.99 | +$0.69 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 9.98 | $0.470 | $7.04 | +$2.35 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 8.31 | $0.641 | $5.86 | +$0.53 |
 Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 4.99 | $0.988 | $4.95 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.750 | $4.68 | +$0.93 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.55 | +$0.05 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 13.21 | $0.390 | $3.9 | -$1.25 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.790 | $3.28 | -$0.68 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 8.11 | $0.628 | $2.96 | -$2.13 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4.99 | $0.667 | $2.48 | -$0.85 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | Yes | 57.69 | $0.123 | $1.64 | -$5.46 |
 Will Trump Airport become law this year? | Yes | 43.49 | $0.149 | $1.3 | -$5.18 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $1.25 | +$0.05 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 16.05 | $0.463 | $1.2 | -$6.24 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.13 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.790 |
| $3.95 |
| Jul 5, 2026 |
 Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over | buy | 3.85 | $0.270 | $1.04 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 2.65 | $0.620 | $1.64 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.820 | $3.49 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.470 | $4.69 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.930 | $1.07 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium | sell | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium | buy | 4.99 | $0.981 | $4.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 3.21 | $0.390 | $1.25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.800 | $2.51 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.770 | $1.48 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.45 | $0.330 | $1.47 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.327 | $1.63 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.98 | $0.307 | $4.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.630 | $1.64 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.630 | $1.64 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.660 | $2.05 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.620 | $1.93 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.640 | $1.72 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.988 | $4.93 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |