Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 329.67 | $0.910 | $304.95 | +$4.95 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jul 27, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 258.73 |
| $0.773 |
| $213.45 |
| +$13.45 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 120.48 | $0.830 | $115.72 | +$15.72 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 126.58 | $0.790 | $106.96 | +$6.96 |
| buy |
| 258.73 |
| $0.773 |
| $200 |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 329.67 | $0.910 | $300 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.350 | $100 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 211.42 | $0.946 | $200 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 104.28 | $0.959 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 211.42 | $0.946 | $200 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.045 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 42.11 | $0.950 | $40 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 63.09 | $0.951 | $60 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No | buy | 64.94 | $0.770 | $50 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 102.07 | $0.196 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.92 | $0.774 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 26.18 | $0.810 | $21.21 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 119.04 | $0.840 | $100 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?No | buy | 207.45 | $0.482 | $100 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 144.59 | $0.692 | $100 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 72.54 | $0.138 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | buy | 43.46 | $0.460 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 29.96 | $0.668 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?No | buy | 29.67 | $0.674 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 75.36 | $0.663 | $50 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Mexico before July?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | May 5, 2025 |