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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.250 | $200 | May 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 800 |
| $0.250 |
| $200 |
| May 11, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.023 | $13.8 | May 2, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.037 | $22.2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | sell | 56 | $0.999 | $55.94 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 56 | $0.920 | $51.52 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.91 | $0.430 | $2.11 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.85 | $0.560 | $2.72 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | buy | 0.63 | $0.350 | $0.22 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | buy | 4.53 | $0.350 | $1.59 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown | buy | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | sell | 64 | $0.987 | $63.15 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.340 | $12.92 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.410 | $16.4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.630 | $9.45 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.659 | $9.89 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.840 | $10.08 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance clap between 30–39 times during the State of the Union?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap between 90–99 times during the State of the Union?Yes | buy | 8.63 | $0.460 | $3.97 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap between 30–39 times during the State of the Union?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.019 | $1.05 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?No | buy | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.140 | $35 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.780 | $85.8 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.490 | $11.76 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.050 | $2.6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.282 | $16.9 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.022 | $0.29 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 38.25 | $0.170 | $6.5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.964 | $38.56 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.049 | $2.94 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.002 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.973 | $48.65 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.605 | $60.5 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.012 | $5.04 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?No | buy | 109 | $0.360 | $39.24 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 340 | $0.120 | $40.8 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.991 | $79.28 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.570 | $45.6 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?No | buy | 127.66 | $0.470 | $60 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 240 | $0.250 | $60 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 14.28 | $0.350 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |