Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 11.43 | $0.982 | $11.22 | Nov 16, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 11.43 |
| $0.986 |
| $11.27 |
| Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 5.41 | $0.980 | $5.3 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.983 | $5.32 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.880 | $5.31 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will India win Intervision 2025?No | sell | 8.31 | $0.505 | $4.2 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Adolescence win the Emmy for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series?Yes | buy | 6.44 | $0.966 | $6.22 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will India win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 8.32 | $0.976 | $8.12 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 403.22 | $0.991 | $399.48 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 403.23 | $0.992 | $400 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.992 | $6.14 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?No | buy | 8.67 | $0.992 | $8.6 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 7 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 131.25 | $0.002 | $0.28 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 7 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 131.25 | $0.040 | $5.25 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 NBA Finals: Will any game go to overtime?No | sell | 7.97 | $0.410 | $3.27 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No | sell | 19.22 | $0.137 | $2.64 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| NBA Finals: Will any game go to overtime?No | buy | 7.98 | $0.940 | $7.5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.530 | $10.19 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Trzaskowski or Nawrocki win the diaspora vote?Trzaskowski | buy | 6.03 | $0.978 | $5.9 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.960 | $5.9 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.974 | $5.47 | May 24, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before June?No | sell | 9.06 | $0.361 | $3.27 | May 24, 2025 |
 China-Vietnam trade deal before June?No | sell | 15.37 | $0.143 | $2.2 | May 21, 2025 |
| China-Vietnam trade deal before June?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.972 | $7.97 | May 21, 2025 |
| China-Vietnam trade deal before June?No | buy | 7.17 | $0.972 | $6.97 | May 19, 2025 |
| US military action on Yemen before June?No | buy | 9.07 | $0.967 | $8.77 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | sell | 9.84 | $0.990 | $9.74 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 7.98 | $0.986 | $7.87 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.83 | $0.951 | $9.35 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 7.91 | $0.961 | $7.6 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.945 | $5.91 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.966 | $5.22 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.948 | $5.22 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 10.61 | $0.953 | $10.11 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.946 | $5.77 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.971 | $9.87 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.979 | $9.68 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.970 | $5.74 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $77m and 82m on opening weekend?No | buy | 9.69 | $0.976 | $9.46 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.980 | $5.64 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No | buy | 5.79 | $0.973 | $5.63 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Crin Antonescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 9.48 | $0.974 | $9.23 | May 3, 2025 |