Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 113.98 | $0.044 | $47.07 | +$42.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.720 | $1.56 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 34.6 |
| $0.720 |
| $31.31 |
| +$6.4 |
 Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? | No | 35.63 | $0.730 | $26.9 | +$0.89 |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | No | 27.47 | $0.728 | $26.79 | +$6.79 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | No | 28 | $0.683 | $25.62 | +$6.48 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | No | 26.27 | $0.952 | $24.92 | -$0.08 |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | No | 25.32 | $0.790 | $23.16 | +$3.16 |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30? | No | 25.05 | $0.958 | $22.42 | -$1.58 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | No | 23.26 | $0.860 | $22.17 | +$2.17 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 22.37 | $0.715 | $21.99 | +$6 |
 Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 20.81 | $0.961 | $20.62 | +$0.61 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.950 | $19.87 | +$0.87 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30? | No | 20.57 | $0.940 | $18.4 | -$0.95 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.54 | $0.707 | $18.4 | +$1.05 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 19.05 | $0.840 | $16.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? | No | 16.86 | $0.771 | $15.6 | +$2.6 |
| Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? | No | 15.91 | $0.770 | $15.47 | +$3.22 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 15.76 | $0.887 | $14.7 | +$0.72 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 521.25 | $0.029 | $14.33 | -$0.68 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.64 | $0.880 | $12.62 | +$0.62 |
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | No | 13.25 | $0.880 | $12.39 | +$0.73 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31? | No | 13.12 | $0.762 | $11.09 | +$1.09 |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10.63 | +$0.63 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 40.36 | $0.354 | $10.29 | -$4.02 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | No | 10.45 | $0.955 | $10.17 | +$0.19 |
| buy |
| 333.7 |
| $0.027 |
| $9.01 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 37.97 | $0.026 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 5.79 | $0.997 | $5.77 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 31.74 | $0.670 | $21.27 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 149.57 | $0.033 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 24.79 | $0.600 | $14.87 | 9d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 2.09 | $0.989 | $2.07 | 12d ago |
 Trump meets with Putin by September 30?No | sell | 2.18 | $0.932 | $2.03 | 15d ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.39 | $0.710 | $12.35 | 17d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 18d ago |
 Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | 18d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.500 | $1.61 | 18d ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 8.01 | $0.460 | $3.68 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.960 | $1.99 | 18d ago |
 Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.910 | $1.99 | 19d ago |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.870 | $1.95 | 19d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | 19d ago |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.913 | $1.01 | 19d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.3 | $0.100 | $3.13 | 21d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No | sell | 7.4 | $0.007 | $0.05 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | sell | 43.83 | $0.006 | $0.26 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.05 | $0.840 | $16 | 22d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.740 | $3.93 | 24d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.390 | $2.93 | 24d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | 24d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | 24d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.810 | $1.99 | 24d ago |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.85 | $0.880 | $6.91 | 24d ago |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?No | sell | 29.52 | $0.740 | $21.84 | 24d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.820 | $1.43 | 24d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.128 | $1.44 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.33 | $0.820 | $6.01 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.440 | $2.38 | 25d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.310 | $1.31 | 26d ago |