Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 74.63 | $0.670 | $48.13 | -$1.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 582.01 |
| $0.086 |
| $28.52 |
| -$21.48 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | Yes | 99.7 | $0.301 | $11.47 | -$18.53 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | Yes | 537.6 | $0.056 | $6.72 | -$23.28 |
 Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 310.09 | $0.097 | $4.34 | -$25.66 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 86.96 | $0.230 | $3.91 | -$16.09 |
 Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | Yes | 242.21 | $0.041 | $1.57 | -$8.43 |
 Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? | Yes | 443.95 | $0.045 | $1.11 | -$18.89 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 470.2 |
| $0.699 |
| $328.67 |
| 17d ago |
 Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?No | sell | 298.5 | $0.700 | $208.95 | 17d ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 134.2 | $0.565 | $75.82 | 17d ago |
 Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?No | sell | 69.44 | $0.760 | $52.77 | 17d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.981 | $2.8 | 17d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?No | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | 24d ago |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?No | sell | 78.12 | $0.650 | $50.78 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 537.6 | $0.056 | $30 | 26d ago |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.670 | $50 | 26d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?No | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | 26d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 92 | $0.730 | $67.16 | 28d ago |
| Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?No | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | 28d ago |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August?Yes | buy | 134.69 | $0.742 | $100 | 29d ago |
 Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 583.61 | $0.039 | $22.76 | 29d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Yes | sell | 331.11 | $0.060 | $19.87 | 29d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 447.8 | $0.047 | $21.05 | 29d ago |
 Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 79.28 | $0.125 | $9.91 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 714.28 | $0.050 | $35.71 | 29d ago |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 154.66 | $0.260 | $40.14 | 29d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | sell | 147.36 | $0.620 | $91.36 | 29d ago |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 552.57 | $0.064 | $35.52 | 29d ago |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes | sell | 96.25 | $0.267 | $25.66 | 29d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 2.22K | $0.037 | $81.12 | 29d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 134.19 | $0.522 | $70 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | sell | 70.21 | $0.638 | $44.82 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 29.85 | $0.860 | $25.67 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 552.58 | $0.090 | $50 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 582.01 | $0.086 | $50 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 376.42 | $0.105 | $39.52 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 92.79 | $0.860 | $79.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 271.6 | $0.810 | $220 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.190 | $28.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.200 | $30 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 401.33 | $0.101 | $40.58 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 243.3 | $0.516 | $125.54 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 51.67 | $0.429 | $22.17 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 147.36 | $0.679 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes | buy | 96.25 | $0.519 | $50 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?No | buy | 90.26 | $0.222 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 154.66 | $0.647 | $100 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 323.65 | $0.988 | $319.77 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 58.47 | $0.038 | $2.22 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?No | buy | 50.78 | $0.540 | $27.42 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 60.6 | $0.199 | $12.06 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 106.38 | $0.159 | $16.91 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 376.42 | $0.063 | $23.75 | Jul 2, 2026 |