Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.4K | $0.893 | $3.18K | +$142.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 700 | $0.910 | $637 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.966 |
| $396.2 |
| +$9.8 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 170 | $0.880 | $157.25 | +$7.65 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 179.99 | $0.668 | $155.7 | +$35.4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 123 | $0.744 | $105.17 | +$13.69 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 105 | $0.319 | $88.88 | +$55.38 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 70 | $0.850 | $64.75 | +$5.25 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 70 | $0.730 | $63.35 | +$12.25 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 58 | $0.924 | $55.77 | +$2.18 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.845 | $34.2 | +$0.4 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.825 | $28.34 | +$3.59 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.828 | $18.2 | +$1.65 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 12 | $0.720 | $10.74 | +$2.1 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.920 | $9.65 | +$0.45 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.905 | $9.32 | +$0.27 |
 New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.860 | $9.25 | +$0.65 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 10 | $0.730 | $7.05 | -$0.25 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 7 | $0.700 | $5.57 | +$0.67 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.99 | $0.700 | $5.18 | +$0.99 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.830 | $5.1 | +$0.12 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.830 | $5.07 | +$0.09 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.790 | $4.97 | +$1.02 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 5 | $0.710 | $4.87 | +$1.32 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.750 | $4.75 | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.74 | +$0.24 |
| sell |
| 43 |
| $0.981 |
| $42.18 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
 Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 7 | $0.430 | $3.01 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 680 | $0.980 | $666.4 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.980 | $78.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.8 | $0.979 | $27.22 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.967 | $33.85 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 460 | $0.870 | $400.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 430 | $0.976 | $419.68 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 390 | $0.974 | $379.86 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 390 | $0.870 | $339.3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 560 | $0.880 | $492.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 500 | $0.983 | $491.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.950 | $57 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.993 | $99.3 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.950 | $57 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 58 | $0.910 | $52.78 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.372 | $1.86 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.978 | $97.8 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 110 | $0.840 | $92.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 53 | $0.960 | $50.88 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.960 | $288 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.987 | $296.1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.987 | $296.1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | sell | 6 | $0.027 | $0.16 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 65 | $0.460 | $29.9 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.700 | $17.5 | May 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.933 | $186.6 | May 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.890 | $55.18 | May 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.880 | $52.8 | May 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.926 | $92.6 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.999 | $50.95 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?No | sell | 69.99 | $0.996 | $69.71 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.860 | $129 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.860 | $129 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Apr 27, 2026 |