Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5.63 | +$0.63 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 15.63 |
| $0.320 |
| $5 |
| $0 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | $0 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $4.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $4.82 | -$0.18 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $4.72 | -$0.28 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 6.49 | $0.770 | $4.29 | -$0.71 |
| buy |
| 15.63 |
| $0.320 |
| $5 |
| 3h ago |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.200 | $6.25 | 3h ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.400 | $5.26 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.490 | $5.69 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.490 | $5.32 | 6d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | 16d ago |
| Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | 23d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?No | sell | 25 | $0.404 | $10.1 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 49.08 | $0.407 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.284 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 287.77 | $0.989 | $284.6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 287.77 | $0.570 | $164.03 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.360 | $22.5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.170 | $17.89 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 78.6 | $0.813 | $63.9 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 78.61 | $0.509 | $40 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 44.94 | $0.998 | $44.85 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | sell | 89.86 | $0.996 | $89.5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.914 | $21.25 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 89.86 | $0.445 | $40 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | sell | 68.96 | $0.280 | $19.31 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.360 | $32.72 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.440 | $40 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.003 | $0.1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 64.51 | $0.002 | $0.13 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.620 | $40 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 190.38 | $0.520 | $99 | May 16, 2025 |