Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 58.21 | $0.859 | $57.07 | +$7.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.77 | $0.464 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 104.17 |
| $0.288 |
| $48.39 |
| +$18.39 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 35.29 | $0.850 | $33.35 | +$3.35 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 33.57 | $0.447 | $16.28 | +$1.28 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.05 | $0.830 | $11.14 | +$1.14 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 21.21 | $0.330 | $7.42 | +$0.42 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5.36 | +$0.36 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.77 | $0.570 | $4.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 10.77 | $0.464 | $1.89 | -$3.11 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 9.06 | $0.552 | $1.35 | -$3.65 |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.016 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 60.61 | $0.033 | $0.03 | -$1.97 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10.1 | $0.099 | $0.02 | -$0.98 |
| buy |
| 14.71 |
| $0.340 |
| $5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.21 | $0.330 | $7 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 63.29 | $0.930 | $58.86 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes | buy | 65.86 | $0.076 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.288 | $30 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 58.21 | $0.859 | $50 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.83 | $0.229 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.033 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.983 | $2.11 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 345.18 | $0.417 | $144 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 9.06 | $0.552 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.840 | $7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.990 | $7.52 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 10.95 | $0.998 | $10.93 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.95 | $0.913 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.998 | $13.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.294 | $30 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Up | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.185 | $3 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of January?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.705 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.978 | $11.11 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 165.75 | $0.181 | $30 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 57.6 | $0.174 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.895 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | sell | 20.92 | $0.991 | $20.73 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??No | sell | 11.64 | $0.972 | $11.31 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.101 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.980 | $1.46 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 34.09 | $0.490 | $16.7 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Dec 1, 2025 |