Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 7.98 | $0.031 | $0.25 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.994 |
| $9.94 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 60 | $0.900 | $54 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 55.63 | $0.860 | $47.84 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?No | sell | 341.36 | $0.999 | $341.02 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 309 | $0.850 | $262.65 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will four or more people dissent the March Fed decision?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.940 | $5.85 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 99.51 | $0.982 | $97.72 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?Yes | buy | 247 | $0.970 | $239.55 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?No | sell | 341.35 | $0.988 | $337.28 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 13.42 | $0.880 | $11.81 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?No | buy | 87.44 | $0.961 | $84.03 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?No | buy | 682.71 | $0.961 | $656.18 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 472.6 | $0.965 | $456.06 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 33.21 | $0.955 | $31.72 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 60.51 | $0.850 | $51.43 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.948 | $293.88 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 27.34 | $0.770 | $21.05 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 17.31 | $0.940 | $16.27 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?No | buy | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?No | buy | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 405 | $0.900 | $364.5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 92.85 | $0.850 | $78.92 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 135 | $0.959 | $129.47 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.958 | $5.83 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 172.06 | $0.950 | $163.46 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 130.04 | $0.830 | $107.93 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.980 | $39.2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.952 | $38.08 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 60 | $0.986 | $59.16 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 103.46 | $0.985 | $101.91 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?No | buy | 84 | $0.929 | $78.02 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?No | buy | 121.56 | $0.969 | $117.79 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 250.63 | $0.470 | $117.8 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250.63 | $0.720 | $180.45 | Nov 11, 2025 |