Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | No | 22.49 | $0.886 | $21.01 | +$1.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.87 | $0.910 | $2.61 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 15.08 |
| $0.944 |
| $14.15 |
| -$0.09 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 13.08 | $0.800 | $10.92 | +$0.46 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.656 | $10.56 | +$0.72 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 15 | $0.640 | $10.5 | +$0.9 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.780 | $9.27 | +$1.47 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T? | No | 10 | $0.900 | $8.85 | -$0.15 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.780 | $8.65 | +$0.85 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 8.63 | $0.647 | $7.9 | +$2.31 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 10.14 | $0.740 | $7.66 | +$0.15 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.125T by September 30? | No | 7.51 | $0.850 | $6.34 | -$0.04 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 15.13 | $0.688 | $5.98 | -$4.44 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 6.5 | $0.649 | $5.45 | +$1.23 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30? | No | 7.51 | $0.790 | $5.37 | -$0.56 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 5.04 | $0.883 | $4.76 | +$0.31 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | Yes | 7.25 | $0.590 | $4.39 | +$0.11 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 5.05 | $0.879 | $4.37 | -$0.07 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 9.37 | $0.490 | $4.36 | -$0.23 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 5.13 | $0.790 | $4.23 | +$0.18 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 12.6 | $0.553 | $4.16 | -$2.81 |
 Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election? | No | 4.93 | $0.750 | $4.14 | +$0.44 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 5 | $0.783 | $3.94 | +$0.02 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 5.08 | $0.770 | $3.73 | -$0.18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 10.29 | $0.340 | $3.55 | +$0.05 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.590 | $2.98 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 17.8 |
| $0.640 |
| $11.39 |
| 3h ago |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.650 | $0.01 | 6h ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 7.05 | $0.460 | $3.24 | 15h ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 17.59 | $0.440 | $7.74 | 19h ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.460 | $0.68 | 20h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.340 | $1.75 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.340 | $1.75 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.944 | $9.44 | 1d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.640 | $0.26 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.790 | $5.93 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.125T by September 30?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.850 | $6.38 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.730 | $5.48 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?Yes | sell | 9.86 | $0.770 | $7.59 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.740 | $5.55 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.87 | $0.780 | $7.7 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.540 | $1.36 | 1d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.640 | $0.29 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.944 | $4.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.770 | $3.91 | 1d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.630 | $0.67 | 1d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.86 | $0.740 | $7.3 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.78 | $0.760 | $4.39 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.67 | $0.770 | $6.68 | 1d ago |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 2d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 1 | $0.852 | $0.85 | 2d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 19.66 | $0.310 | $6.09 | 3d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 3d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.500 | $0.39 | 3d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.500 | $0.39 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.78 | $0.740 | $4.28 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.680 | $3.45 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.760 | $3.91 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.680 | $3.45 | 4d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.790 | $4.05 | 4d ago |
 Will Union Magdalena win on 2026-09-05?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.690 | $3.48 | 4d ago |
| Will Union Magdalena win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.730 | $3.7 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.700 | $5.25 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 4.19 | $0.410 | $1.72 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.410 | $2.29 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.300 | $1.56 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.24 | $0.710 | $3.72 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.710 | $0.89 | 4d ago |
 Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.34 | $0.070 | $0.37 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.690 | $1.03 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.710 | $0.99 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.670 | $2.09 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 4.17 | $0.640 | $2.67 | 5d ago |