Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.89 | $0.450 | $1.82 | -$2.18 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 14.93 |
| $0.067 |
| $1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.89 | $0.450 | $4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.791 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.620 | $4.43 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 36.25 | $0.043 | $1.56 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 54.98 | $0.260 | $14.3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 38.85 | $0.350 | $13.6 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp | buy | 40.35 | $0.220 | $8.88 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 50.44 | $0.360 | $18.16 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 12.29 | $0.370 | $4.55 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown | buy | 95.71 | $0.091 | $8.69 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETDown | buy | 14.61 | $0.650 | $9.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 27.38 | $0.330 | $9.04 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 5.06 | $0.210 | $1.06 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 78.64 | $0.500 | $39.32 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 89.27 | $0.410 | $36.6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown | buy | 25.9 | $0.350 | $9.06 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 93.06 | $0.190 | $17.67 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 50.44 | $0.360 | $18.16 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 80.7 | $0.220 | $17.75 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown | buy | 5.61 | $0.680 | $3.82 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Yes | buy | 131.52 | $0.324 | $42.57 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.065 | $1.3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 15.51 | $0.590 | $9.15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 2.19 | $0.910 | $1.99 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,840 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?No | sell | 6.19 | $0.990 | $6.13 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9?Up | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 476.79 | $0.042 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3)FengDa Gaming | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-15?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 16?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 16?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Dec 15, 2025 |