Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? | Yes | 259.99 | $0.612 | $49.4 | -$109.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 188.58 | $0.966 | $182.14 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.255 |
| $21.8 |
| -$80.2 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.405 | $13 | -$68 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40 | $0.019 | $0.06 | -$0.72 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | Yes | 1.93 | $0.027 | $0.05 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.499 |
| $99.7 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | sell | 43.75 | $0.777 | $33.99 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.092 | $18.38 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?Yes | buy | 24.14 | $0.080 | $1.93 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.966 | $96.6 | May 17, 2026 |
 Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?No | sell | 150 | $0.929 | $139.32 | May 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 11.17 | $0.600 | $6.7 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No | sell | 94.95 | $0.749 | $71.12 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 75.55 | $0.260 | $19.64 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 150 | $0.056 | $8.4 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | sell | 32.75 | $0.735 | $24.07 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 135.22 | $0.350 | $47.33 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.067 | $6.7 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.770 | $53.9 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.170 | $17 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?No | sell | 30 | $0.717 | $21.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.435 | $21.77 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?No | sell | 250 | $0.577 | $144.18 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.789 | $118.28 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?No | sell | 17 | $0.300 | $5.1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.362 | $36.25 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?Yes | sell | 54.72 | $0.178 | $9.75 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.483 | $48.3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?No | sell | 200 | $0.640 | $128.1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.890 | $133.5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | sell | 34.31 | $0.910 | $31.22 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?No | sell | 34.48 | $0.975 | $33.62 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.376 | $18.8 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Discord IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.89 | $0.813 | $16.18 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | sell | 157.51 | $0.889 | $140.04 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 133.98 | $0.163 | $21.85 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.598 | $59.84 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.120 | $47.86 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 17?Down | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?No | sell | 300 | $0.744 | $223.2 | Feb 15, 2026 |