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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2.45 | +$0.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.800 | $2.16 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.7 |
| $0.800 |
| $2.34 |
| +$0.18 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.971 | $2.15 | -$0.01 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 2.37 | $0.590 | $1.89 | +$0.49 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 3.36 | $0.863 | $1.37 | -$1.53 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.24 | $0.806 | $1 | -$0 |
| buy |
| 1.24 |
| $0.806 |
| $1 |
| 14d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.961 | $1.25 | 29d ago |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | buy | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.930 | $1.96 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 3.36 | $0.863 | $2.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.971 | $2.16 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.590 | $1.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.986 | $1.6 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.969 | $6.2 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.962 | $5.31 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.989 | $5.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.991 | $2.64 | Mar 18, 2026 |