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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.262 | $291.84 | Jul 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.27K |
| $0.262 |
| $1.64K |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 366 | $0.270 | $98.82 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 5.1K | $0.218 | $1.11K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 8.33K | $0.060 | $500 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.93K | $0.581 | $1.7K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.51K | $0.210 | $1.37K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.89K | $0.185 | $720.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.47K | $0.111 | $1.16K | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.47K | $0.111 | $607.17 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.142 | $568 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.163 | $326 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.120 | $24.6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.22K | $0.110 | $574.7 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.02K | $0.100 | $302.21 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.140 | $1.26 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40K | $0.002 | $80 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.5K | $0.004 | $94 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 12K | $0.050 | $600 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.32K | $0.120 | $398.36 | Feb 15, 2026 |