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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 121.21 | $0.330 | $69.7 | +$29.7 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.660 | $40 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 121.21 |
| $0.660 |
| $50.91 |
| -$29.09 |
 Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 49.89 | $0.340 | $14.09 | -$2.88 |
 Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 4.45 | $0.500 | $3.63 | +$1.4 |
| Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | No | 2.86 | $0.670 | $2.51 | +$0.6 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? | Yes | 8.43 | $0.160 | $1.81 | +$0.46 |
 Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? | No | 1 | $0.520 | $0.74 | +$0.22 |
 Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.730 | $0.71 | -$0.01 |
 Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 0.69 | $0.870 | $0.63 | +$0.03 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 0.64 | $0.870 | $0.63 | +$0.07 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | No | 0.57 | $0.796 | $0.47 | +$0.02 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.47 | $0.400 | $0.41 | -$0.18 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.77 | $0.410 | $0.39 | +$0.07 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.84 | $0.340 | $0.31 | +$0.02 |
 Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title? | No | 0.23 | $0.870 | $0.23 | +$0.03 |
| Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? | No | 0.54 | $0.791 | $0.15 | -$0.28 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.27 | $0.280 | $0.15 | +$0.07 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 0.26 | $0.260 | $0.14 | +$0.08 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.390 | $0.13 | -$0.25 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | No | 0.67 | $0.520 | $0.12 | -$0.22 |
 Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 1.66 | $0.230 | $0.12 | -$0.26 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? | Yes | 0.37 | $0.220 | $0.1 | +$0.02 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 0.63 | $0.510 | $0.09 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31? | Yes | 0.28 | $0.450 | $0.08 | -$0.04 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.33 | $0.320 | $0.04 | -$0.07 |
| buy |
| 60.61 |
| $0.330 |
| $20 |
| 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.660 | $40 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.99 | $0.960 | $45.11 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 46.95 | $0.029 | $1.37 | 6d ago |
 Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.072 | $7.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.480 | $0.96 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | sell | 36.94 | $0.022 | $0.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 20.14 | $0.110 | $2.22 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 12.21 | $0.140 | $1.71 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes | sell | 10.77 | $0.270 | $2.91 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?No | sell | 6.5 | $0.500 | $3.25 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.210 | $3.99 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 18.69 | $0.210 | $3.92 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?No | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?No | sell | 18.32 | $0.750 | $13.74 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No | sell | 54 | $0.959 | $51.79 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | sell | 20 | $0.931 | $18.61 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 42.13 | $0.500 | $21.07 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?Down | sell | 99.95 | $0.836 | $83.56 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | sell | 51.15 | $0.987 | $50.49 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $85 on May 7?No | buy | 51 | $0.980 | $49.98 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 54.29 | $0.986 | $53.51 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 7?No | buy | 52 | $0.960 | $49.92 | May 7, 2026 |
 LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsSolary | buy | 54 | $0.920 | $49.68 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No | buy | 54.01 | $0.910 | $49.14 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | buy | 51.16 | $0.977 | $49.98 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $155M and $170M at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 50.88 | $0.970 | $49.35 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US Cremonese leading at halftime?No | buy | 53.71 | $0.910 | $48.87 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?No | buy | 53 | $0.940 | $49.82 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 24?No | buy | 49.97 | $0.990 | $49.45 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on April 24?No | buy | 49.95 | $0.990 | $49.45 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No | buy | 50.03 | $0.989 | $49.47 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Legacy (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsLegacy | buy | 52.78 | $0.930 | $49.08 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-23?Yes | buy | 53.74 | $0.920 | $49.44 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-04-23?No | buy | 53.74 | $0.920 | $49.44 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.920 | $49.28 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on April 23?Yes | buy | 49.95 | $0.990 | $49.45 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?Yes | buy | 51.01 | $0.980 | $49.98 | Apr 23, 2026 |