Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No | buy | 240.1 | $0.880 | $211.29 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 123.61 |
| $0.975 |
| $120.55 |
| Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | buy | 87.68 | $0.971 | $85.17 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Linea FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | sell | 85.25 | $0.999 | $85.16 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Linea FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 85.26 | $0.976 | $83.21 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?Yes | buy | 40.36 | $0.363 | $14.64 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2Usyk | sell | 18.18 | $0.760 | $13.82 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2Usyk | buy | 18.18 | $0.770 | $14 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | sell | 42.36 | $0.350 | $14.83 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 42.36 | $0.550 | $23.3 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 23.3 | $0.860 | $20.04 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US strike on Iran on June 29?No | sell | 21.64 | $0.881 | $19.06 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| US strike on Iran on June 29?No | buy | 21.65 | $0.970 | $21 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 335.64 | $0.065 | $21.98 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 335.65 | $0.410 | $137.57 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | sell | 102.65 | $0.939 | $96.37 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | sell | 41.99 | $0.981 | $41.19 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | buy | 102.66 | $0.958 | $98.34 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 41.99 | $0.968 | $40.65 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.749 | $5.99 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.748 | $97.24 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?No | buy | 125.18 | $0.870 | $108.91 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 272.27 | $0.366 | $99.63 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 302.01 | $0.998 | $301.41 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 302.01 | $0.994 | $300.2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 331.55 | $0.603 | $200 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.400 | $250 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?No | sell | 264.51 | $0.979 | $259.03 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?No | buy | 264.51 | $0.979 | $258.96 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 291 | $0.880 | $256.08 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 291.39 | $0.892 | $260 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Usyk beat Fury?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Dec 21, 2024 |