Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 222.22 | $0.171 | $16.11 | -$21.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 195.65 | $0.060 | $11.74 | 14d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 195.65 |
| $0.230 |
| $12.72 |
| -$32.28 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 57.47 | $0.261 | $10.14 | -$4.86 |
| sell |
| 146 |
| $0.140 |
| $20.44 |
| 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 391.3 | $0.230 | $90 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 19.16 | $0.261 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 38.31 | $0.261 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.249 | $24.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.45 | $0.259 | $6.86 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.945 | $41.69 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.200 | $24 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 53.33 | $0.150 | $8 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 55.36 | $0.542 | $30 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?No | sell | 14.44 | $0.966 | $13.95 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 55.57 | $0.542 | $30.11 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.171 | $38 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.928 | $9.28 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 119.96 | $0.417 | $50 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 146.01 | $0.137 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 99.37 | $0.201 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |