Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 4.4K | $0.023 | $99.79 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 17.48 |
| $0.350 |
| $6.12 |
| Feb 15, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 8.18K | $0.004 | $32.71 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 6.23K | $0.008 | $49.8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.042 | $49.8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 766.31 | $0.130 | $99.62 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.36K | $0.513 | $1.21K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 385.86 | $0.029 | $11.19 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.033 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | sell | 2.17K | $0.509 | $1.11K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.52K | $0.399 | $1.8K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.36K | $0.167 | $394.03 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 2.17K | $0.276 | $600 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.52K | $0.221 | $1K | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C or below on January 13?Yes | sell | 211.56 | $0.001 | $0.21 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on January 13?Yes | sell | 6.71 | $0.153 | $1.03 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 157.18 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on January 12?Yes | buy | 133.3 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on January 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on January 13?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C or below on January 13?Yes | buy | 100.45 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or below on January 12?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on January 12?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on January 12?Yes | buy | 20.7 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on January 12?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on January 13?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 13?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 13?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 47°F or below on January 13?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on January 12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on January 13?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C or below on January 13?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on January 12?Yes | buy | 33.51 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on January 12?Yes | buy | 206.58 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on January 12?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 12?Yes | buy | 7.74 | $0.129 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on January 12?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on January 13?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C or higher on January 13?Yes | buy | 172.31 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 41°C or higher on January 12?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on January 11?Yes | buy | 852.5 | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on January 11?No | buy | 66.33 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on January 11?Yes | buy | 81.97 | $0.012 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |