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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 124.47K |
| $0.998 |
| $124.22K |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?No | buy | 120K | $0.999 | $119.88K | Jul 6, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 12.06K | $0.998 | $12.03K | Jul 5, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20K | $0.890 | $17.8K | Jul 3, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100K | $0.890 | $89K | Jul 3, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 12.06K | $0.974 | $11.74K | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 46.09K | $0.991 | $45.67K | Jun 22, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.61K | $0.995 | $13.54K | Jun 3, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 50K | $0.943 | $47.15K | May 20, 2026 |
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 264.92 | $0.986 | $261.21 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.910 | $2.46K | May 16, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.004 | $5.96 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 306.96 | $0.018 | $5.46 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 396.36 | $0.880 | $348.8 | May 15, 2026 |
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | May 15, 2026 |
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $13.99 | May 15, 2026 |
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 111.88 | $0.092 | $10.26 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.252 | $341.95 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 22.9 | $0.127 | $2.91 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.129 | $38.7 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 122.88 | $0.127 | $15.58 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.102 | $10.2 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | sell | 1.36K | $0.831 | $1.13K | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 122.05 | $0.094 | $11.45 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.080 | $9.81 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | sell | 289 | $0.862 | $249.18 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | sell | 124 | $0.880 | $109.17 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 729.45 | $0.870 | $634.53 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.930 | $1.58K | May 12, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 2.35K | $0.919 | $2.16K | May 12, 2026 |
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes | buy | 3.74K | $0.897 | $3.36K | May 12, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.57 | $0.999 | $25.54 | May 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.999 | $7.29 | May 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.999 | $1.4K | May 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70K | $0.999 | $69.93K | May 9, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.994 | $198.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.2K | $0.965 | $9.84K | Apr 29, 2026 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | sell | 41.32K | $0.966 | $39.91K | Apr 29, 2026 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.5K | $0.975 | $3.42K | Apr 28, 2026 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.983 | $4.91K | Apr 28, 2026 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.72K | $0.980 | $6.58K | Apr 28, 2026 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.978 | $19.56K | Apr 28, 2026 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.980 | $1.35K | Apr 28, 2026 |
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.8K | $0.990 | $5.74K | Apr 23, 2026 |
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.920 | $1.75K | Apr 23, 2026 |
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.925 | $8.33K | Apr 23, 2026 |
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.62K | $0.890 | $2.33K | Apr 23, 2026 |