Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Mar 29, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.51 |
| $0.312 |
| $0.47 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.954 | $1.19 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 44.51 | $0.022 | $0.98 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Trump deport more than 1m people?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.956 | $1.43 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan OmarNothing | sell | 1.5 | $0.993 | $1.49 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.8 | $0.937 | $1.69 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.76 | $0.983 | $1.73 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.790 | $1.78 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.900 | $1.8 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.930 | $1.86 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.985 | $1.98 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.915 | $2.29 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 3 | $0.800 | $2.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2.91 | $0.967 | $2.82 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.710 | $1.44 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.989 | $2.98 | Mar 29, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | sell | 3.25 | $0.991 | $3.22 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.300 | $3.3 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.5 | $0.979 | $3.43 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by March 31?No | sell | 3.8 | $0.966 | $3.67 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.043 | $0.86 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.097 | $0.49 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.180 | $0.18 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 18.42 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 3.17 | $0.007 | $0.02 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | sell | 4.5 | $0.970 | $4.37 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 101.87 | $0.042 | $4.26 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.974 | $1.32 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 3 | $0.290 | $0.87 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 4.5 | $0.998 | $4.49 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?No | sell | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 7.27 | $0.624 | $4.53 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.999 | $5.01 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.760 | $5.59 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 7 | $0.980 | $6.86 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.998 | $7.49 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 10.04 | $0.997 | $10.01 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 10.04 | $0.999 | $10.03 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 19.9 | $0.994 | $19.78 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.660 | $2.01 | Mar 23, 2026 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.960 | $1.68 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.840 | $1.89 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.700 | $2.96 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.984 | $2.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |