Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 27.66 | $0.986 | $27.27 | Feb 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 26.4 |
| $0.985 |
| $26 |
| Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | sell | 500 | $0.604 | $301.87 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 22?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.350 | $140 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.745 | $372.5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 20?No | buy | 515.52 | $0.999 | $515 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?No | buy | 389.45 | $0.999 | $389.06 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?Yes | buy | 130.14 | $0.999 | $130 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 520.1 | $0.996 | $518.1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 17?No | buy | 515.52 | $0.999 | $515 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will "My Secret Santa" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)No | buy | 518.58 | $0.998 | $517.43 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will "Ella McCay" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2.5m?Yes | buy | 515.52 | $0.999 | $515 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 14?No | buy | 516.92 | $0.999 | $516.4 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 13?No | buy | 516.4 | $0.999 | $515.88 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 201 | $0.995 | $200 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 3 | $0.995 | $2.99 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 203.65 | $0.997 | $203.04 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.960 | $150 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 156.99 | $0.955 | $150 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on December 10?No | buy | 315.32 | $0.999 | $315 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on December 10?No | buy | 77.39 | $0.995 | $77 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.973 | $3.4 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will José Luiz Datena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.002 | $0.1 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will another company be the largest company by mcap on September 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $40k before October?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Jumper airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.001 | $0.35 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Pudgy Penguins airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.001 | $0.35 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Sep 30, 2024 |