Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.995 | $11.94 | 12d ago |
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?No| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.999 |
| $14.99 |
| 12d ago |
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.998 | $7.98 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?No | sell | 18 | $0.990 | $17.82 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?No | buy | 18 | $0.970 | $17.46 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No | buy | 21 | $0.999 | $20.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.999 | $16.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.998 | $24.95 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.989 | $19.78 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?No | sell | 18 | $0.999 | $17.98 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?No | buy | 18 | $0.970 | $17.46 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Jason Gibbs advance from the CA-27 primary election?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.990 | $15.84 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.990 | $16.83 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.980 | $16.66 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No | buy | 57.06 | $0.999 | $57 | May 29, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?No | sell | 22 | $0.992 | $21.82 | May 21, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?No | buy | 22 | $0.975 | $21.45 | May 21, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.990 | $18.81 | May 18, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.970 | $18.43 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.990 | $20.79 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.970 | $20.37 | May 15, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | May 12, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?No | buy | 20 | $0.985 | $19.7 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | sell | 25 | $0.996 | $24.9 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 25 | $0.974 | $24.35 | May 6, 2026 |
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?No | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | May 3, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.998 | $24.95 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.988 | $24.7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5?No | sell | 22.96 | $0.997 | $22.89 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 5?No | buy | 22.93 | $0.970 | $22.24 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 80-84 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 19 | $0.999 | $18.98 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 80-84 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 19 | $0.980 | $18.62 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will "Temptation Island: Season 10" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 24 | $0.990 | $23.76 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.990 | $14.84 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?No | sell | 18 | $0.990 | $17.82 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?No | buy | 18 | $0.970 | $17.46 | Apr 6, 2026 |
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?No | buy | 25 | $0.970 | $24.25 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.999 | $16.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | sell | 5.19 | $0.990 | $5.14 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.980 | $16.66 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.970 | $18.43 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.990 | $18.81 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.975 | $5.06 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Mar 26, 2026 |