Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 14.42 | $0.971 | $14.33 | +$0.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 23?No | buy | 11.41 | $0.964 | $11 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.35 |
| $0.935 |
| $4.49 |
| -$0.51 |
| sell |
| 11.45 |
| $0.967 |
| $11.07 |
| May 23, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.957 | $3 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 14.42 | $0.971 | $14 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.935 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 6.26 | $0.958 | $6 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.820 | $8 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Weed rescheduled by June 30?No | buy | 11.46 | $0.960 | $11 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 50.51 | $0.993 | $50.16 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 50.51 | $0.991 | $50.06 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.940 | $1.43 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.880 | $1.87 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.891 | $1.87 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.992 | $2.01 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.988 | $2.06 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.971 | $2.11 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.900 | $2.14 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?No | sell | 2.18 | $0.985 | $2.15 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.984 | $2.66 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.951 | $2.91 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.972 | $2.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.995 | $3.03 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.973 | $3.28 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 4.39 | $0.970 | $4.26 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.898 | $4.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.900 | $5.17 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.967 | $6.44 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.950 | $1.45 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.942 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.889 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.981 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Artemis II booster rupture?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.889 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.954 | $3.04 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.940 | $3.03 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.947 | $4.51 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 No change in Swiss National Bank policy rate after March Meeting?Yes | sell | 3.89 | $0.910 | $3.54 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Swiss National Bank decreases policy rate after March Meeting?No | sell | 3.65 | $0.930 | $3.39 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.958 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.915 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |