Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.1 |
| $0.910 |
| $1.04 |
| +$0.04 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.989 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.497 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Austin Reaves play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Bill Gates charged by June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |