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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.45 | $0.050 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.180 | $7.56 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 71 |
| $0.490 |
| $34.79 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.936 | $0.94 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 46 | $0.957 | $44.02 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 28.42 | $0.950 | $27 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.804 | $26.53 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 64 | $0.755 | $48.32 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.012 | $1.9 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.580 | $39.44 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.580 | $4.64 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.930 | $42.78 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.930 | $47.43 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.910 | $46.41 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 94 | $0.370 | $34.78 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 69 | $0.620 | $42.78 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.540 | $47.52 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.540 | $47.52 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.971 | $42.72 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 48 | $0.985 | $47.28 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.985 | $47.28 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.971 | $47.58 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.050 | $4.15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.961 | $9.61 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.961 | $48.05 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.964 | $47.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.030 | $0.81 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.028 | $4.28 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 64 | $0.550 | $35.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 82 | $0.530 | $43.46 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 82 | $0.530 | $43.46 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 21 | $0.953 | $20.01 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.038 | $1.52 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 23 | $0.940 | $21.62 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.991 | $20.81 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.991 | $20.81 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | sell | 21 | $0.987 | $20.73 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?No | buy | 21 | $0.988 | $20.75 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.615 | $21.53 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 21 | $0.987 | $20.73 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 21 | $0.987 | $20.73 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.166 | $3.32 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 24 | $0.983 | $23.59 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 24 | $0.982 | $23.57 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.960 | $6.72 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.852 | $4.26 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.907 | $4.54 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.911 | $4.56 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 21 | $0.985 | $20.69 | May 30, 2025 |
 Judge Boasberg impeached before June?No | sell | 18 | $0.996 | $17.93 | May 30, 2025 |