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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.300 | $6.5 | +$1.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | 22d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 69.44 |
| $0.072 |
| $2.33 |
| -$2.67 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 121.95 | $0.041 | $2.32 | -$2.68 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.300 | $2.17 | -$2.83 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.330 | $2.05 | -$2.95 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $1.93 | -$3.08 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 46.3 | $0.108 | $1.83 | -$3.17 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 10.22 | $0.489 | $1.72 | -$3.28 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $1.52 | -$3.48 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.380 | $1.51 | -$3.49 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $1.25 | -$3.75 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $0.83 | -$4.17 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
| buy |
| 8.83 |
| $0.113 |
| $1 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.770 | $8.02 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.513 | $8.02 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.191 | $4.89 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.762 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.702 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.793 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?No | buy | 17.1 | $0.058 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.796 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.151 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.999 | $5.25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.130 | $4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.999 | $2.56 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.869 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.999 | $7.34 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.973 | $7.15 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |