Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 98.91 | $0.242 | $23.98 | May 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.2 |
| May 1, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.669 | $24.08 | May 1, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes | sell | 460.34 | $0.060 | $27.62 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | sell | 316.31 | $0.190 | $60.1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 111.5 | $0.270 | $30.11 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 96.3 | $0.803 | $77.29 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 657.16 | $0.130 | $85.43 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.76K | $0.140 | $946.49 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.999 | $18.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.76 | $0.012 | $0.53 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.050 | $250 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 278.31 | $0.009 | $2.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.060 | $300 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.963 | $18.3 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Blockade" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?Yes | buy | 9.79 | $0.740 | $7.25 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.400 | $2K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 314 | $0.400 | $125.6 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 2.26K | $0.930 | $2.1K | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.190 | $1.9K | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.95 | $0.420 | $24.34 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.140 | $282.61 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.140 | $282.61 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 141.17 | $0.400 | $56.47 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 38.43 | $0.390 | $14.99 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | sell | 2.29K | $0.050 | $114.67 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 42.99 | $0.050 | $2.15 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 42.99 | $0.050 | $2.15 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 85.99 | $0.050 | $4.31 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 355.49 | $0.360 | $127.98 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100.58 | $0.400 | $40.23 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 114.97 | $0.300 | $34.49 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 114.97 | $0.300 | $34.49 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 229.94 | $0.300 | $68.98 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 459.89 | $0.300 | $137.97 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 699.22 | $0.400 | $279.69 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.04K | $0.150 | $605.6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.250 | $272.28 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.150 | $2.25K | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.5 | $0.540 | $60.21 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.350 | $175 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.948 | $34.13 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.490 | $7.84 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.490 | $2.94 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.480 | $28.8 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 221.28 | $0.340 | $75.24 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.15 | $0.490 | $5.46 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.16 | $0.480 | $74 | Apr 19, 2026 |