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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.895 | $0.99 | May 4, 2026 |
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| No |
| 1.1 |
| $0.910 |
| $1.09 |
| +$0.09 |
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 1.09 | $0.917 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 2.85 |
| $0.320 |
| $0.91 |
| May 4, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.670 | $0.98 | May 4, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.280 | $0.93 | May 4, 2026 |
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.890 | $1.2 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.370 | $0.44 | May 4, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.330 | $0.91 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.440 | $1.05 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.820 | $1.03 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.700 | $1.01 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.900 | $1.03 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.607 | $0.89 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.710 | $0.96 | May 4, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.06 | $0.167 | $1.01 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.610 | $0.98 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.956 | $0.98 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.940 | $0.97 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.206 | $1.03 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.430 | $0.95 | May 4, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.84 | $0.074 | $0.65 | May 4, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.651 | $0.97 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.092 | $1.24 | May 4, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | May 4, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.470 | $1.02 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 1.45 | $0.746 | $1.08 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.770 | $0.9 | May 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.670 | $0.95 | May 4, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.440 | $0.93 | May 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.500 | $1.19 | May 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.780 | $1.04 | May 4, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.900 | $0.98 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.99 | May 4, 2026 |
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.830 | $0.95 | May 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.380 | $0.97 | May 4, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | May 4, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.810 | $1.04 | May 4, 2026 |
Kash Patel out by May 31?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.830 | $1.04 | May 4, 2026 |
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.310 | $0.97 | May 4, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.780 | $0.98 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.620 | $1.1 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.790 | $0.92 | May 4, 2026 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.943 | $1.04 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.800 | $1.12 | May 4, 2026 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.230 | $0.3 | May 4, 2026 |
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | sell | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.740 | $0.97 | May 4, 2026 |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.460 | $0.98 | May 4, 2026 |