Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 83.69K | $0.022 | $1.8K | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No| buy |
| 7.22K |
| $0.504 |
| $3.64K |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 4.38K | $0.830 | $3.64K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 171.43 | $0.480 | $82.29 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 4.56K | $0.800 | $3.65K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.08K | $0.502 | $4.56K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.59K | $0.634 | $3.55K | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.79K | $0.615 | $7.25K | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 7.37K | $0.983 | $7.25K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 4.36K | $0.720 | $3.14K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 6.11K | $0.720 | $4.4K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 7.67K | $0.983 | $7.54K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 32.1K | $0.462 | $14.84K | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 978.54 | $0.950 | $929.63 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.17K | $0.630 | $7.04K | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 9.33K | $0.750 | $7K | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 3.97K | $0.750 | $2.98K | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.750 | $900 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.021 | $2.1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 2.23K | $0.950 | $2.12K | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.830 | $1K | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.830 | $1K | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.830 | $4.15K | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | sell | 1.99K | $0.979 | $1.95K | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.85K | $0.549 | $3.76K | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 506.33 | $0.790 | $400 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.620 | $1K | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.73K | $0.900 | $5.16K | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.97K | $0.830 | $4.95K | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 8.68K | $0.916 | $7.95K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.54K | $0.910 | $5.04K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.73K | $0.880 | $5.04K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 10.93K | $0.908 | $9.93K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.600 | $1K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.591 | $1K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 500 | $0.820 | $410 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 459.46 | $0.680 | $312.43 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.430 | $215 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.570 | $171 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.45K | $0.690 | $1K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.840 | $700 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 3.86K | $0.931 | $3.59K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.48K | $0.844 | $2.94K | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.900 | $1.8K | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.840 | $1.46K | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.484 | $500 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 47.9 | $0.840 | $40.24 | Jan 25, 2026 |