Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 23.11 | $0.987 | $22.94 | +$0.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Harry WendelkenMarco Cecchinato | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | May 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.36 |
| $0.880 |
| $11.07 |
| +$1.07 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 8.43 | $0.830 | $7.85 | +$0.85 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 7.5 | $0.933 | $6.17 | -$0.83 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 6.13 | $0.979 | $6.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 4.44 |
| $0.900 |
| $4 |
| May 11, 2026 |
 Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win (BO5) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPARIVISION | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | May 11, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWalczaki | buy | 7.66 | $0.914 | $7 | May 11, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ENCE vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular SeasonENCE | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.979 | $6 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.933 | $7 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?No | buy | 13.98 | $0.930 | $13 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.959 | $12 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 37.68 | $0.993 | $37.42 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No | buy | 8.43 | $0.830 | $7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | sell | 8.69 | $0.930 | $8.08 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.976 | $5.16 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.939 | $4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?Yes | buy | 9.14 | $0.875 | $8 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 3, 2026?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.960 | $9 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?Yes | buy | 13.55 | $0.959 | $13 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.920 | $8 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 60.79 | $0.987 | $60 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.978 | $20 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.998 | $23 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?Senate | buy | 31.66 | $0.979 | $31 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 US strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 19.89 | $0.996 | $19.81 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | buy | 21.55 | $0.974 | $21 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 50.88 | $0.983 | $50 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 20.68 | $0.967 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 20.33 | $0.984 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 "Trump Burger" owner deported by September 30?No | buy | 19.06 | $0.997 | $19 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 James Comey indicted before October?No | buy | 15.82 | $0.948 | $15 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.977 | $9 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.977 | $7 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Jun 29, 2025 |