Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 6.18 | $0.999 | $6.17 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 4.66 |
| $0.999 |
| $4.66 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.989 | $4.87 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 87.86 | $0.028 | $2.46 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 108.97 | $0.039 | $4.25 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.988 | $5.13 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.34 | $0.964 | $4.18 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.996 | $7.56 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.33 | $0.069 | $2.99 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 81.15 | $0.026 | $2.11 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.16 | $0.964 | $5.94 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.53 | $0.949 | $13.79 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 425–449 times June 6–13?No | buy | 16.91 | $0.998 | $16.88 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in May?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.999 | $1.75 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.999 | $1.82 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.999 | $2.06 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 8.31 | $0.942 | $7.83 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.998 | $3.76 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 10.28 | $0.999 | $10.27 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.999 | $4.63 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | sell | 2.23 | $0.975 | $2.17 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.993 | $2.22 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 40.35 | $0.997 | $40.23 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 103.2 | $0.997 | $102.89 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 16.51 | $0.998 | $16.48 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 40.35 | $0.998 | $40.27 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 103.21 | $0.998 | $103 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 48.62 | $0.999 | $48.57 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 75.52 | $0.996 | $75.22 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.996 | $11.14 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 48.63 | $0.999 | $48.58 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 75.53 | $0.997 | $75.3 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 55.25 | $0.999 | $55.19 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 78.72 | $0.999 | $78.64 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 18–25?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 18–25?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.999 | $8.85 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Kelvin Banks Jr. be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.999 | $10.74 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 55.26 | $0.999 | $55.2 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 73.81 | $0.997 | $73.59 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 73.82 | $0.998 | $73.67 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 67.86 | $0.998 | $67.72 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 67.87 | $0.999 | $67.8 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 78.73 | $0.999 | $78.65 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 41.48 | $0.997 | $41.36 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 56.7 | $0.999 | $56.64 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 56.71 | $0.999 | $56.65 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 41.48 | $0.998 | $41.4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 38.51 | $0.997 | $38.39 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times April 4 - 11?No | buy | 22.35 | $0.999 | $22.33 | Apr 9, 2025 |