Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.880 | $4.81 | +$0.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.82 | $0.620 | $8.57 | 26d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.790 |
| $4.75 |
| +$0.8 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.23 | $0.336 | $1.04 | -$3.07 |
| buy |
| 8.65 |
| $0.570 |
| $4.93 |
| 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.67 | $0.650 | $8.24 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.68 | $0.560 | $7.1 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.73 | $0.550 | $2.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.94 | $0.269 | $5.35 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.33 | $0.262 | $7.16 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.920 | $7.36 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? | buy | 1.13 | $0.877 | $0.99 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.24 | $0.280 | $0.91 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 20?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.340 | $1.05 | May 20, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | May 20, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.9 | $0.423 | $2.49 | May 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.46 | $0.810 | $1.19 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.56 | $0.837 | $2.98 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.875 | $2.12 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.951 | $1.11 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.910 | $1.05 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.628 | $0.88 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 19, 1AM ETDown | buy | 1.18 | $0.990 | $1.17 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.18 | $0.950 | $1.12 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.940 | $1.06 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.930 | $1.07 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.960 | $1.13 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.777 | $1.09 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.945 | $1.08 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.64 | $0.680 | $1.12 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.979 | $1.15 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.996 | $1.12 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 1.71 | $0.540 | $0.92 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.959 | $1.08 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 1.17 | $0.960 | $1.12 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.971 | $1.08 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.790 | $1.06 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.680 | $1.12 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.710 | $1.22 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.985 | $1.2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.778 | $0.93 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.93 | $0.740 | $1.43 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.984 | $2.14 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.988 | $2.29 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.720 | $1.39 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.950 | $1.08 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.994 | $1.12 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.960 | $1.13 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.986 | $2.14 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.988 | $2.3 | Feb 16, 2026 |