Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 711.46 | $0.091 | $533.59 | +$468.59 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfing" or "Golfer" this week?Yes | buy | 49.41 | $0.850 | $42 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 268.1 |
| $0.373 |
| $46.25 |
| -$53.75 |
 Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 198.58 | $0.126 | $40.81 | +$15.81 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 133.33 | $0.450 | $39.33 | -$20.67 |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfing" or "Golfer" this week? | Yes | 49.41 | $0.850 | $39.28 | -$2.72 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.79K | $0.027 | $32.06 | -$42.94 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026? | Yes | 154.1 | $0.779 | $30.82 | -$89.18 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.800 | $3.93 | -$0.08 |
| buy |
| 603.12 |
| $0.083 |
| $50 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.283 | $50 | 4d ago |
 Will Trump say "Never Forget" during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | buy | 70.71 | $0.849 | $60 | 4d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 658.66 | $0.310 | $204.18 | 4d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "London" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | 8d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | 8d ago |
| Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week?Yes | sell | 66.32 | $0.407 | $26.96 | 9d ago |
| Will Trump say "11,888" this week?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.500 | $35 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week?Yes | buy | 66.33 | $0.452 | $30 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?Yes | buy | 154.1 | $0.779 | $120 | 15d ago |
 Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 17d ago |
| Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.410 | $16.4 | 17d ago |
| Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.49 | $0.400 | $7 | 17d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.06 | $0.892 | $50 | 19d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.97 | $0.309 | $25 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?Yes | buy | 112.15 | $0.713 | $80 | 19d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | 21d ago |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 198.58 | $0.126 | $25 | 21d ago |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 48.62 | $0.999 | $48.57 | 21d ago |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.62 | $0.617 | $30 | 22d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.68 | $0.931 | $50 | 23d ago |
 Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 58.2 | $0.515 | $30 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.660 | $30 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.340 | $28.33 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | 23d ago |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | 24d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | 24d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.73 | $0.364 | $25 | 24d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.47 | $0.097 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.79 | $0.145 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 86.61 | $0.115 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.97 | $0.130 | $10 | 24d ago |
 Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?No | buy | 72.78 | $0.275 | $20 | 25d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | buy | 62.61 | $0.559 | $35 | 25d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 102.94 | $0.340 | $35 | 25d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.600 | $40 | 25d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 25d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.83 | $0.352 | $20 | 25d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 25d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.03 | $0.909 | $50 | 25d ago |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.590 | $25 | 26d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 132.77 | $0.377 | $50 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.150 | $12 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 115.01 | $0.087 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.450 | $60 | 27d ago |