Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.790 | $4.73 | +$0.78 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 505.48 | $0.959 | $484.76 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 8 |
| $0.840 |
| $6.72 |
| May 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 16.56 | $0.840 | $13.91 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.29K | $0.650 | $838.49 | May 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.958 | $124.54 | May 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.81 | $0.957 | $11.3 | May 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.930 | $20.46 | May 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 298 | $0.930 | $277.14 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.963 | $1.59K | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 470.85 | $0.996 | $468.97 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 999 | $0.940 | $939.06 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 153.19 | $0.997 | $152.73 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 96.46 | $0.998 | $96.27 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes | sell | 152.72 | $0.895 | $136.68 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 70 | $0.999 | $69.93 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 287 | $0.999 | $286.71 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 2.32K | $0.987 | $2.29K | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 112.01 | $0.959 | $107.42 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 967.27 | $0.985 | $952.76 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 290 | $0.991 | $287.39 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 483.37 | $0.990 | $478.48 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes | buy | 262 | $0.892 | $233.77 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 948.26 | $0.703 | $666.5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 60 | $0.704 | $42.24 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.986 | $1.02K | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 3.19K | $0.466 | $1.49K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 99 | $0.707 | $70.04 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 199 | $0.187 | $37.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2.37K | $0.989 | $2.34K | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 472.33 | $0.994 | $469.5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 2.74K | $0.953 | $2.61K | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.950 | $1.8K | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.34K | $0.950 | $2.22K | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 222 | $0.890 | $197.58 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 287 | $0.989 | $283.82 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 70 | $0.960 | $67.18 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.59K | $0.992 | $3.57K | Mar 24, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.01 | $0.991 | $16.86 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 465.79 | $0.988 | $460.2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 141.72 | $0.987 | $139.88 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.9K | $0.998 | $2.9K | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.983 | $116.98 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 137.79 | $0.994 | $136.96 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 199 | $0.969 | $192.83 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No | sell | 244.11 | $0.999 | $243.87 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Yes | buy | 26.14 | $0.957 | $25.02 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 131.22 | $0.958 | $125.71 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No | buy | 200 | $0.990 | $198 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No | buy | 88.88 | $0.989 | $87.9 | Mar 3, 2026 |