Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 21.25 | $0.470 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.82 |
| $0.440 |
| $3 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.62 | $0.755 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 6.31 | $0.999 | $6.3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?Yes | sell | 78.63 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?Yes | sell | 84.98 | $0.002 | $0.17 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?Yes | sell | 68.86 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 11.53 | $0.850 | $9.8 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?No | buy | 47.3 | $0.100 | $4.73 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?No | sell | 107.59 | $0.095 | $10.27 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.980 | $11.78 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?No | buy | 34.87 | $0.120 | $4.18 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?Yes | buy | 27.92 | $0.497 | $13.88 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.610 | $24.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.920 | $2.93 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 37.84 | $0.510 | $19.3 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 40.83 | $0.360 | $14.7 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 59.69 | $0.846 | $50.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?No | buy | 175.6 | $0.170 | $29.85 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.390 | $2.35 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.37 | $0.027 | $1.9 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?Yes | buy | 78.62 | $0.013 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?Yes | buy | 84.97 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?Yes | buy | 68.84 | $0.025 | $1.7 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?Yes | buy | 69.93 | $0.030 | $2.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 20.19 | $0.498 | $10.05 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 21.19 | $0.387 | $8.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.740 | $29.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 39.86 | $0.034 | $1.37 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.035 | $1.4 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?Up | buy | 13.59 | $0.368 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | buy | 15.03 | $0.665 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 25.78 | $0.446 | $11.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |