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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 23.76 | $0.421 | $4.87 | -$5.13 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 193.21 | $0.420 | $81.15 | Jul 21, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 40 |
| $0.250 |
| $1.8 |
| -$8.2 |
| buy |
| 78.83 |
| $0.420 |
| $33.11 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 34.13 | $0.550 | $18.77 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.910 | $10.22 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.21 | $0.979 | $5.1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 86.58 | $0.413 | $35.73 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | sell | 105.36 | $0.013 | $1.37 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 230.98 | $0.019 | $4.37 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.020 | $8 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 299 | $0.020 | $5.98 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.025 | $40.45 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.023 | $31.23 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 755.66 | $0.019 | $14.03 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 78.24 | $0.019 | $1.48 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 77.9 | $0.019 | $1.48 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 52.51 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.450 | $1.95 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.850 | $4.51 | Jul 12, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.920 | $11.35 | Jul 12, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.930 | $5.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.650 | $6.91 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.590 | $3.27 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.810 | $2.64 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.760 | $4.47 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 4.08 | $0.460 | $1.88 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.040 | $0.83 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 76.76 | $0.019 | $1.45 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.019 | $3.8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 81.4 | $0.019 | $1.55 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 229 | $0.019 | $4.27 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 491.17 | $0.020 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 436.09 | $0.023 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.300 | $6.82 | Jul 8, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.710 | $3.38 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.34 | $0.375 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |