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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 90.91 | $0.660 | $60 | May 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 62.22 |
| $0.900 |
| $56 |
| May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown | sell | 77.42 | $0.990 | $76.65 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown | buy | 77.42 | $0.969 | $75 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Yes | sell | 75.72 | $0.996 | $75.42 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Yes | buy | 75.72 | $0.832 | $63 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.992 | $7.94 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.958 | $9.58 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.988 | $9.88 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 12 | $0.991 | $11.89 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.187 | $1.87 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.870 | $6.96 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 12 | $0.840 | $10.08 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?No | buy | 7 | $0.850 | $5.95 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?Yes | sell | 12.39 | $0.991 | $12.28 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Chainlink dip to $8 in March?No | buy | 11.21 | $0.960 | $10.76 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Sisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.991 | $11.79 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.895 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?Yes | buy | 12.39 | $0.807 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.990 | $11.92 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?No | sell | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?No | sell | 11.65 | $0.436 | $5.08 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.242 | $2.81 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?Yes | sell | 12.43 | $0.955 | $11.87 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?Yes | sell | 11.13 | $0.406 | $4.52 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.824 | $6.76 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March?Yes | sell | 11.65 | $0.580 | $6.76 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March?Yes | buy | 11.65 | $0.830 | $9.67 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Ruth Alina Peralta win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?No | sell | 10.31 | $0.938 | $9.67 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?No | buy | 11.65 | $0.830 | $9.67 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 12.44 | $0.804 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.949 | $11.42 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?Yes | buy | 11.14 | $0.898 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" in March?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.960 | $11.16 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?No | sell | 12.13 | $0.697 | $8.45 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.956 | $10.06 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the March meeting?No | sell | 11.22 | $0.983 | $11.03 | Mar 26, 2026 |