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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 6.25 | $0.640 | $4.88 | +$0.88 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.61 |
| $0.830 |
| $3.52 |
| +$0.52 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2.3 | +$0.3 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.470 | $0.63 | -$0.37 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 1.59 | $0.630 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
| buy |
| 4.55 |
| $0.440 |
| $2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.190 | $1.05 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Eric Shmitt as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 40.08 | $0.023 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 3.77 | $0.996 | $3.75 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.160 | $1.45 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 8.33 | $0.140 | $1.17 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.055 | $0.37 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 25?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | sell | 3.4 | $0.890 | $3.03 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | sell | 3.7 | $0.340 | $1.26 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.57 | $0.209 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.87 | $0.840 | $4.09 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.640 | $4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.35 | $0.315 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.007 | $0.18 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 20.28 | $0.102 | $2.07 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.52 | $0.013 | $0.12 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes | sell | 4.25 | $0.010 | $0.04 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.138 | $1.04 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.14 | $0.110 | $1.12 | Nov 25, 2025 |