Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.013 | $0.13 | May 3, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.150 |
| $1.5 |
| Feb 10, 2025 |
| Super Bowl LIX WinnerChiefs | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.982 | $11.78 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.987 | $0.99 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.640 | $1.28 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Jay-Z arrested in 2024?No | buy | 1 | $0.950 | $0.95 | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.940 | $0.94 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?No | buy | 2 | $0.730 | $1.46 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.690 | $0.69 | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Linea airdrop in 2024?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.030 | $0.09 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Linea airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Solana above $145 on October 18?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.890 | $0.89 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on October 18?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.920 | $0.92 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.890 | $0.89 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$2000 | sell | 1 | $0.560 | $0.56 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Oct 10, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Solana above $155 on October 4?No | buy | 1 | $0.790 | $0.79 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on October 4?No | buy | 1 | $0.780 | $0.78 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?No | buy | 1 | $0.820 | $0.82 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will Real Madrid beat VfB Stuttgart?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Sep 16, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?No | buy | 1 | $0.890 | $0.89 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.630 | $1.26 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Liverpool beat Nottingham Forest?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.810 | $0.81 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Manchester City beat Brentford?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.840 | $0.84 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$2000 | buy | 1 | $0.780 | $0.78 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $45k before October?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.120 | $0.96 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| $BTC dips below $50k before October?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.440 | $0.88 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Ethereum dips below $2,000 by Sept 30?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.380 | $1.14 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?No | buy | 1 | $0.740 | $0.74 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "democracy" at debate?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.860 | $0.86 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.590 | $0.59 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.650 | $1.3 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 Aleo airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.540 | $1.08 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 Zircuit airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.640 | $1.28 | Sep 4, 2024 |