Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.79 | $0.720 | $6.12 | +$0.51 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.79 | $0.720 | $5.61 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.96 |
| $0.870 |
| $3.45 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.969 | $2.1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 29.49 | $0.236 | $6.96 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.470 | $1.47 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in July?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.990 | $5.82 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.540 | $2.14 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 2.39 | $0.880 | $2.1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 24.98 | $0.540 | $13.49 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in July?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.940 | $2.44 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.55 | $0.110 | $1.38 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.920 | $1.38 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.800 | $1.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.987 | $1.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.965 | $1.18 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.846 | $1.18 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.739 | $1.04 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.620 | $1.05 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.27 | $0.930 | $16.99 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.900 | $2.34 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 7.13 | $0.968 | $6.9 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.985 | $2.04 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.941 | $2.03 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.840 | $5.99 | May 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.976 | $5.89 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.777 | $2.25 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.990 | $2.63 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes | buy | 15.1 | $0.993 | $14.99 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.922 | $2 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.840 | $2.01 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | buy | 28.92 | $0.899 | $26 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.952 | $1.02 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.55 | $0.934 | $2.38 | May 21, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 7.59 | $0.961 | $7.29 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 14.82 | $0.950 | $14.08 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.983 | $2.31 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.945 | $1.02 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.460 | $1.02 | May 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | May 16, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.640 | $1.85 | May 16, 2026 |