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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.55 | $0.952 | $0.54 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 323 | $0.063 | $20.35 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 219 |
| $0.920 |
| $201.48 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.270 | $59.4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 372 | $0.250 | $93 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 347 | $0.280 | $97.16 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 347 | $0.280 | $97.16 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 173 | $0.810 | $140.13 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 388 | $0.470 | $182.36 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.117 | $31.59 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 556 | $0.116 | $64.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.065 | $1.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.066 | $9.37 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 147 | $0.920 | $135.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 210 | $0.920 | $193.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 546 | $0.052 | $28.39 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.053 | $31.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.899 | $15.28 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.380 | $51.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.045 | $3.78 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.045 | $3.42 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.211 | $21.09 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 304 | $0.250 | $75.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 228 | $0.939 | $214.09 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 340 | $0.630 | $214.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 340 | $0.570 | $193.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.550 | $53.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 508 | $0.100 | $50.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 599 | $0.090 | $53.91 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.100 | $3.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 348 | $0.540 | $187.92 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 348 | $0.540 | $187.92 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 648 | $0.290 | $187.92 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 160 | $0.952 | $152.32 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 374 | $0.500 | $187 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 374 | $0.500 | $187 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 91 | $0.985 | $89.64 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 189 | $0.985 | $186.17 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 195 | $0.955 | $186.23 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 231 | $0.806 | $186.19 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 7 | $0.799 | $5.59 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 227 | $0.793 | $180.01 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 234 | $0.795 | $186.02 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 190 | $0.979 | $186.01 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 190 | $0.977 | $185.63 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 171 | $0.989 | $169.12 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 354 | $0.310 | $109.74 | Jun 2, 2026 |