Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.855 | $338 | -$4 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.690 | $3.51 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 494.71 |
| $0.503 |
| $230.04 |
| -$18.96 |
 Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | Yes | 150.88 | $0.643 | $144.62 | +$47.54 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 200 | $0.570 | $105 | -$9 |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 177 | $0.555 | $90 | -$8.21 |
 Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? | No | 133.33 | $0.696 | $90 | -$2.83 |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 85.81 | $0.788 | $67.83 | +$0.19 |
 Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | Yes | 150.24 | $0.401 | $59.34 | -$0.89 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | No | 100 | $0.440 | $55 | +$11 |
 Will Grüne win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 100 | $0.570 | $52.5 | -$4.5 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 71.68 | $0.630 | $46.95 | +$1.79 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 86.06 | $0.410 | $46.04 | +$10.76 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 50 | $0.745 | $37 | -$0.25 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | No | 37.29 | $0.910 | $36.19 | +$2.26 |
 Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 50 | $0.726 | $35.03 | -$1.28 |
 Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 69.9 | $0.320 | $34.6 | +$12.23 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.630 | $32.75 | +$1.25 |
| Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? | No | 50 | $0.630 | $32.25 | +$0.75 |
 Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | No | 70 | $0.447 | $30.8 | -$0.5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 50 | $0.560 | $28.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.560 | $27.75 | -$0.25 |
| Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 44.38 | $0.610 | $26.85 | -$0.22 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 31 | $0.736 | $26.42 | +$3.61 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | No | 26.82 | $0.725 | $26.39 | +$6.96 |
 Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | No | 50 | $0.540 | $26.25 | -$0.75 |
| sell |
| 7.2 |
| $0.690 |
| $4.97 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 12.55 | $0.890 | $11.17 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?No | sell | 3.75 | $0.730 | $2.74 | 2d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No | sell | 4.86 | $0.710 | $3.45 | 2d ago |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in September?No | sell | 11.25 | $0.770 | $8.66 | 2d ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 24.82 | $0.770 | $19.11 | 2d ago |
 Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | 2d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | sell | 13 | $0.690 | $8.97 | 2d ago |
 Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Yes | sell | 4.22 | $0.900 | $3.8 | 2d ago |
| Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?No | sell | 40 | $0.785 | $31.4 | 2d ago |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.700 | $7.95 | 2d ago |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 27.28 | $0.703 | $19.19 | 2d ago |
| Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 2d ago |
 Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 2d ago |
| Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | 2d ago |
| Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.820 | $1.95 | 2d ago |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 18.25 | $0.620 | $11.32 | 2d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?Yes | sell | 3.46 | $0.870 | $3.01 | 2d ago |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 3d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 42.23 | $0.740 | $31.25 | 3d ago |
 Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | 3d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.89 | $0.710 | $7.73 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | 3d ago |
| Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?No | sell | 10 | $0.661 | $6.61 | 3d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 165.01 | $0.630 | $103.96 | 3d ago |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.974 | $12.17 | 3d ago |
| Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 44.44 | $0.710 | $31.55 | 4d ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No | sell | 21.17 | $0.780 | $16.51 | 4d ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.15 | $0.690 | $4.93 | 4d ago |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | sell | 17.65 | $0.750 | $13.24 | 4d ago |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | sell | 32.51 | $0.750 | $24.38 | 5d ago |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | 5d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.890 | $9.79 | 5d ago |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.700 | $1.18 | 5d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 143.5 | $0.724 | $103.89 | 5d ago |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | sell | 4.4 | $0.880 | $3.87 | 6d ago |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 42.29 | $0.815 | $34.47 | 6d ago |
| Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | 6d ago |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.750 | $3.82 | 6d ago |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | 6d ago |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.911 | $1.57 | 6d ago |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.22 | $0.750 | $9.17 | 6d ago |
 Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.780 | $6.78 | 6d ago |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.930 | $5.34 | 7d ago |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in September?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 7d ago |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Yes | sell | 13.22 | $0.420 | $5.55 | 7d ago |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No | sell | 8.97 | $0.860 | $7.71 | 7d ago |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 7d ago |