Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 120.16 | $0.420 | $61.28 | +$10.77 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 55.56 | $0.920 | $51.12 | 12h ago |
|
| No |
| 59.99 |
| $0.923 |
| $55.28 |
| -$0.11 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 80.57 | $0.521 | $50.36 | +$8.34 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | No | 60 | $0.857 | $46.8 | -$4.6 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 40 | $0.850 | $35.2 | +$1.2 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 53.37 | $0.424 | $28.82 | +$6.17 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 40 | $0.650 | $28.8 | +$2.8 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 51.15 | $0.440 | $27.62 | +$5.11 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 22.93 | $0.890 | $20.98 | +$0.56 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.79 | $0.830 | $5.81 | +$0.17 |
| sell |
| 18.94 |
| $0.440 |
| $8.33 |
| 12h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 12h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 7.49 | $0.963 | $7.21 | 2d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.420 | $9.24 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.940 | $37.59 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?No | sell | 28.76 | $0.973 | $27.97 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.79 | $0.830 | $5.64 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.500 | $5.95 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 15.69 | $0.900 | $14.12 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 28.61 | $0.985 | $28.18 | 6d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 6d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?No | sell | 32.14 | $0.965 | $31.02 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 28.76 | $0.950 | $27.32 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 21.65 | $0.570 | $12.34 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.860 | $4.91 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.870 | $5.25 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 71.2 | $0.520 | $37.02 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.870 | $6.3 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 7.49 | $0.910 | $6.82 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 61.19 | $0.480 | $29.37 | 10d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 29.87 | $0.900 | $26.88 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?No | buy | 32.14 | $0.935 | $30.04 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 26.11 | $0.988 | $25.8 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 19.01 | $0.960 | $18.25 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 9.6 | $0.960 | $9.22 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.440 | $23.32 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 22.31 | $0.446 | $9.95 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.574 | $31.55 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.58 | $0.430 | $5.84 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 33.5 | $0.600 | $20.1 | 11d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.940 | $8.46 | 15d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 17.11 | $0.940 | $16.08 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.880 | $7.04 | 16d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.880 | $7.86 | 16d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 41.41 | $0.964 | $39.92 | 16d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 28.27 | $0.400 | $11.31 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.52 | $0.330 | $4.79 | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.96 | $0.820 | $16.37 | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.86 | $0.820 | $19.57 | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 56.81 | $0.981 | $55.74 | 19d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 12.94 | $0.830 | $10.74 | 21d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | 22d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.45 | $0.900 | $23.81 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 29.37 | $0.960 | $28.2 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 119.63 | $0.998 | $119.39 | 24d ago |