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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.39 | $0.660 | $0.37 | +$0.12 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 109.53 | $0.990 | $108.43 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.64 |
| $0.190 |
| $0.17 |
| -$0.33 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 44.99 | $0.650 | $0.02 | -$29.22 |
| buy |
| 7.47 |
| $0.990 |
| $7.4 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No | sell | 57.91 | $0.094 | $5.45 | May 31, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.958 | $287.4 | May 29, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.958 | $287.4 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.300 | $45 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.430 | $64.5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.07 | $0.820 | $57.46 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 53.94 | $0.850 | $45.85 | May 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 9.27 | $0.880 | $8.16 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?No | sell | 16 | $0.964 | $15.42 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 34.3 | $0.972 | $33.34 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | sell | 37.15 | $0.996 | $37 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 43.35 | $0.410 | $17.77 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | sell | 45 | $0.740 | $33.3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.591 | $28.36 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 51.17 | $0.930 | $47.59 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes | sell | 52.71 | $0.819 | $43.17 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | sell | 54.66 | $0.940 | $51.38 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 59.5 | $0.938 | $55.81 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 60 | $0.999 | $59.94 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 60.62 | $0.080 | $4.85 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | sell | 66.59 | $0.300 | $19.98 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 70.09 | $0.890 | $62.38 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No | sell | 74.98 | $0.974 | $73.03 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 75 | $0.620 | $46.51 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 75 | $0.989 | $74.18 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.670 | $50.27 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 82.39 | $0.800 | $65.91 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 84.05 | $0.400 | $33.62 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | sell | 89.99 | $0.083 | $7.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 89.99 | $0.781 | $70.28 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | sell | 101.97 | $0.550 | $56.08 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 92.31 | $0.869 | $80.19 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 104.99 | $0.690 | $72.44 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 134.99 | $0.690 | $93.14 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 137.1 | $0.100 | $13.71 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.150 | $22.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 198.83 | $0.962 | $191.27 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | sell | 116.99 | $0.985 | $115.24 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 121.96 | $0.990 | $120.74 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No | sell | 293.94 | $0.999 | $293.65 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | sell | 222.56 | $0.993 | $221.05 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?No | sell | 60.13 | $0.989 | $59.47 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | sell | 173.26 | $0.999 | $173.09 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?No | sell | 69.22 | $0.989 | $68.43 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.994 | $74.57 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | sell | 225 | $0.800 | $180 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | sell | 35.43 | $0.933 | $33.05 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 531.22 | $0.310 | $164.68 | Mar 31, 2026 |