Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 17.08 | $0.512 | $14.27 | +$5.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.850 | $3.8 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 12.85 |
| $0.253 |
| $11.24 |
| +$7.99 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 10 | $0.745 | $9.51 | +$2.06 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.695 | $9.4 | +$2.45 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.670 | $9.05 | +$2.35 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.140 | $8.35 | +$6.95 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 9.46 | $0.839 | $8.18 | +$0.24 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 8.51 | $0.574 | $7.15 | +$2.26 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 6.93 | $0.870 | $6.62 | +$0.59 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 15 | $0.357 | $5.33 | -$0.02 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 8.39 | $0.714 | $5.28 | -$0.71 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5.48 | $0.759 | $5.13 | +$0.97 |
 US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.982 | $4.77 | -$0.14 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.810 | $4.73 | +$0.68 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.840 | $4.68 | +$0.48 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.550 | $4.48 | +$1.73 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.710 | $4.35 | +$0.8 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.01 | $0.750 | $4.33 | +$0.58 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5.01 | $0.860 | $4.23 | -$0.07 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.390 | $4.13 | -$1.73 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 22.63 | $0.345 | $3.96 | -$3.84 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 4.03 | $0.870 | $3.83 | +$0.32 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 5 | $0.660 | $3.58 | +$0.28 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 3.9 | $0.920 | $3.57 | -$0.02 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 18.9 | $0.405 | $3.5 | -$4.16 |
| buy |
| 4.92 |
| $0.780 |
| $3.84 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 4.94 | $0.017 | $0.08 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | sell | 10 | $0.063 | $0.63 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No | buy | 14.94 | $0.085 | $1.27 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.740 | $1.17 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.560 | $2.75 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.410 | $4.09 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.260 | $1.28 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.400 | $1.57 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.820 | $4.08 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 9.94 | $0.180 | $1.79 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.830 | $4.14 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 29.93 | $0.180 | $5.39 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.71 | $0.100 | $4.17 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.6 | $0.110 | $2.27 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.830 | $4.14 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 16.09 | $0.230 | $3.7 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.220 | $2.05 | Jun 28, 2026 |