Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jul 5, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.05 |
| Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.051 | $2.55 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.021 | $3.15 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.047 | $2.35 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.030 | $1.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No | buy | 58 | $0.110 | $6.38 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.65 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.059 | $5.9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 164.99 | $0.007 | $1.15 | Jun 19, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.303 | $15.16 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.099 | $4.97 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.109 | $2.73 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.105 | $5.23 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.446 | $4.46 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.025 | $1.25 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 20.01 | $0.457 | $9.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 12.95 | $0.420 | $5.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 43.72 | $0.326 | $14.26 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.127 | $6.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 37.54 | $0.279 | $10.46 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.030 | $1.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 42.96 | $0.066 | $2.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.107 | $5.35 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Over $1B crypto hack value in 2026?No | sell | 16.07 | $0.053 | $0.85 | Jun 13, 2026 |
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?No | buy | 43 | $0.075 | $3.23 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?Yes | sell | 164.4 | $0.004 | $0.66 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?Yes | sell | 299.97 | $0.002 | $0.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?No | buy | 50 | $0.074 | $3.72 | Jun 12, 2026 |
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?No | buy | 15 | $0.050 | $0.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.062 | $4.67 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.065 | $3.25 | Jun 12, 2026 |
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?No | buy | 65.34 | $0.072 | $4.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.048 | $4.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?No | buy | 27.63 | $0.073 | $2.01 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No | buy | 75 | $0.044 | $3.3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?No | sell | 49.55 | $0.090 | $4.46 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No | sell | 50 | $0.095 | $4.75 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.141 | $7.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No | buy | 57.93 | $0.100 | $5.79 | Jun 8, 2026 |