Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 25 | $0.929 | $24.04 | +$0.81 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7 | $0.995 | $6.97 | Jul 13, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 5.1 |
| $0.880 |
| $4.49 |
| Jul 13, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.983 | $0.38 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.995 | $12.94 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.997 | $7.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.99 | $0.996 | $6.96 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.994 | $5.77 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.989 | $6.03 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.936 | $5.15 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.880 | $4.58 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.991 | $7.93 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.6 | $0.987 | $5.53 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.994 | $5.47 | May 16, 2026 |
Trump out as President by May 31?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.996 | $8.57 | May 16, 2026 |
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.995 | $5.17 | May 16, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.54 | $0.972 | $5.38 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.998 | $7.88 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No | buy | 9.6 | $0.998 | $9.58 | May 16, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.987 | $12.34 | May 16, 2026 |
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.984 | $6.17 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 6.7 | $0.997 | $6.68 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.961 | $5.33 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.950 | $9.74 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.996 | $10.01 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.997 | $8.77 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.994 | $7.26 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No | buy | 9.91 | $0.998 | $9.89 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.997 | $9.06 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.968 | $5.06 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.83 | $0.993 | $7.78 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 6.57 | $0.989 | $6.5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.976 | $5.29 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.984 | $6.99 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.998 | $6.19 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.34 | $0.975 | $6.18 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.990 | $6.59 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.975 | $8.71 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 6.55 | $0.950 | $6.22 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.956 | $5.28 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.941 | $12.02 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.985 | $7.83 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.950 | $5.39 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | sell | 28.27 | $0.963 | $27.22 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 7.74 | $0.990 | $7.66 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 6.53 | $0.952 | $6.22 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.990 | $7.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.972 | $5.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 6.35 | $0.939 | $5.96 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No | buy | 6.95 | $0.986 | $6.85 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.38 | $0.968 | $8.11 | Dec 23, 2025 |